BRIEFING

November 2001

 


HIGHWAY TRAFFIC REPORT

            I-15 AT STATELINE/PRIMM

Northbound traffic on I-15 headed into Las Vegas was up 5.8% in October, southbound up 6.5% for an average in both directions of 6.1% based on same day of the week comparisons as reported by the Nevada Department of Transportation (NDOT).  Northbound traffic on Fridays, increased anywhere from 10.9% on Friday, the 26th, to 20.6% on Friday, the 12th.  Friday, the 19th, was up 15.3% and Friday, the 5th up 16.8%.  In an unusual pattern, Saturdays were off slightly on the day-to-day comparison from last year.  Northbound on Saturday the 6th was up 2.6%, but the other three northbound Saturdays showed slight declines of under 3%.  Increases in returning traffic, southbound on Sundays, ranged anywhere from 20% on the 31st of October to a low of 9.7% increase on October 22nd.  Year to date traffic on I-15 is up .3%.

 

            I-15 AT MESQUITE, NEVADA

While the total vehicle count for Mesquite was up 5.38%, there was little change in the

Traffic pattern by day of the week.  The increase was across the board, with the exception of Fridays, when northbound traffic headed out of Nevada was a little heavier than in past years.  For the breakdown of weekday and weekend traffic at Mesquite see chart on page 4. 

 

            LAUGHLIN, NEVADA

The impact of the truck embargo across Hoover Dam is apparent in the traffic statistics on State Route 163 (Davis Dam Road) where vehicle counts were up nearly 30%.  (See chart on page 4.)  On U.S. 95 the total count was up 31.4%.  The diversion of trucks is further evidenced by the statistics on U.S. 93 at Railroad Pass where daily traffic was down 4.3% and off weekdays 6.7%.  The diversion of truck traffic through Laughlin has had a positive impact on the hotel/casino business, and bad weather in the Midwest has heralded the arrival of the "snowbirds". The operators there are encouraged by the return of these regular customers.

 

            YERMO INSPECTION STATION

The rounded estimates of southbound traffic on I-15 at Yermo showed an increase of 14%, with auto traffic up 7.9%, truck traffic up 48%, but RV's were down 45% and bus traffic up 5%.  

 

LAS VEGAS McCARRAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

 

National was the only scheduled carrier showing an increase in arriving and departing passengers through Las Vegas McCarran airport in October.  The start up airline was

up 3.7% for the month lifting its year to date (YTD) increase to 21%.  Month to month (M/M) and YTD statistics for the top five scheduled carriers serving Las Vegas are as Follows:

 

                    %M/M change    %YTD change 

Southwest            -1.6%               8.3%

America West      -29.7%               2.7%

United                 -25.7%            -10.8%

Delta                   -14.3%            -13.3%

National                 -3.7%             21.0%

 

The declines in passenger counts on United and Delta were largely due to cut backs in service.  Southwest has held to the same number of flights through Las Vegas as before September 11 as has National.  All scheduled carriers were down 13.7% in October and are off 6% YTD.  Charters were down 46% in October and are down 13.4% YTD.

 

 

 

                           

GAMING REVENUE REPORT

The effects if the 9/11/01 attacks were evident in the September report from the State Gaming Control Board.  Downtown, which is more reliant on locals and drive-in customers showed an increase in total win of 1.8% and Downtown's percentage of statewide gaming win (share) climbed to 7.1%, up from 6.8% last year and the first time that share had climbed above 7% since April 2000.  The Strip, which gets more airline customers was down 5.4% in gaming win and share off a full percentage point from 47.6% this year from 48.8% last year.  Laughlin was also down, with win dropping 5.6% but share was off just slightly at 5.4% versus 5.6%.  Clark County win was down 2.4%, but the share climbed to 77.9% from 77.3%.  This share increase is primarily due to a big drop in gaming win in Washoe County (Reno), the second largest gaming market in the state.  Total gaming win in the county was down 7.7%, while the total gaming win in Reno was off 8.1%.  Statewide, the win was down 3.2%.

 

 

 

WESTERN STATES TARGET CALIFORNIA MARKET

With airline traffic seriously curtailed, other western states, from Hawaii to New Mexico, are targeting Californians as a prime market to keep their tourism engine going.  Where the definition of a drive-in market used to be two hours driving time, western states tourism officials say now the drive in market can reach anywhere from the west coast to Texas, "Everyone needs to target California because that's where the people and the dollars are." Said Los Angeles hotel consultant, Bruce Baltin, of PKF Consulting,  "California's critical." 

 

In addition to the shift in dollars by the Las Vegas Visitor's and Convention Bureau into California, in defense of it's own turf, Sacramento has allocated a $5 million advertising campaign that will urge residents to "rediscover California".  Arizona is reserving $250,000 of a new $3 million advertising campaign specifically for California.  Hawaii has given no specific amount, but Los Angeles and San Francisco are the top two markets for Hawaii.  New Mexico is allocating $200,000 to "Put Yourself in a State of Enchantment".  Utah ski resorts are offering reduced lift ticket and lodging prices in an effort to lure California skiers.  Since the September 11th disaster the chances of western states increasing market share are remote, the objective is to keep market share until the prime summer time tour season and/or the economy rebounds.

 

thehighwaystations.com REACHES LANDMARK

Over 200,000 people have logged onto The Highway Stations' website since March of this year.  Acknowledgements have come from all around the world: Japan, Spain, Germany, Mexico, as well as many domestic cities all across the USA.  The site not only streams FM 98/99 and Highway Country but also has up-to-date weather and traffic information. 

 

BRIEFING NOW AVAILABLE BY E-MAIL OR FAX

If you'd like to receive your copy of the Briefing by fax or e-mail you may send a fax message to (702) 737-7833, giving your fax number or you may phone (702) 737-9899 or send and e-mail message to sales@thehighwaystions.com, with your return e-mail address.  This will put the traffic statistics and other information in your hands two or three days ahead of regular mail.

 

AMERICANS INCREASE TRAVEL INTENTIONS

The latest Travel Confidence Survey taken by the Travel Industry Association of American (TIA) since September 11th shows 62% of Americans now plan on taking at least one leisure trip in the next six months, up from 58% in the survey done last month.  The telephone survey was conducted November 2-4, among a representative sample of 1,000 US adults and the third in a series of consumer poles.

 

Americans are looking for travel ideas and incentives, with a substantial number of those with travel plans, saying that airline discounts (56%), special offers from hotels (53%), special offers to travel within their home state (45%) and travel tax credits (44%) would make them travel more than already planned.  The primary reason among those not planning to travel was economic concerns (38%).  The safety of travel concerns only 14%.  Americans continue to feel that they are able to travel whenever and wherever they want (48%) and that they are able to travel as they did before the terrorist attacks (72%).

 

The TIA was also predicting that while air travel is projected to decline 25% in the fourth quarter and be down 9.4% for the year, travel by car will be down just 2% for the fourth quarter and down only 1.5% for the full year of 2001.

 

Listed below are the responses to some other travel related questions asked in a survey conducted via phone for the conference board by NFL World Group, a member of the Inter-public Group of Companies.

 

Do you or anyone in your household plan to postpone or cancel travel by auto, by plane, by train?

            By auto:  Yes - 4.1%      No  - 95.9%

           By plane: Yes - 21.3%    No  - 78.7%

           By train:  Yes - 7.6%      No  - 92.4%

Does anyone in your household plan to postpone or cancel travel plans by other means of travel?

            Yes:   5.8%    No:  94.2%

GASOLINE PRICES CONTINUE TO DROP

Lack of demand and a slump in the global economy has driven the price of crude oil to as low as $21 a barrel from a high of $36 a barrel a year ago.  A spokesman for the Nevada AAA predicts that  gasoline prices  will continue to fall.

 

WALL STREET LOOKS AT ADVERTISING BUDGETS

Now that most of the gaming companies in Las Vegas are publicly owned, there is additional pressure on publicly traded companies as Wall Street increasingly looks at marketing support, according to Jim Gindrich, an analyst for Alliance Capital Corp., Sanford C. Bernstein Unit.  Long criticized for creating the earnings pressure by budget cuts, Wall Street is now asking companies pointed questions about marketing spending as "A quality of earnings" issue.  Deutsch Banc's, Alex. Brown, Analyst Andrew Shore, cautions earning per share growth still is the key measure for investors.  Cutting marketing remains one of the easiest ways to hit the numbers in a pinch, even if it's destructive to long-term growth. 

 

"The vicious cycle is that lower advertising…lowers brand loyalty," Mr. Shore said.  "It's like when the doctor tells you to quit smoking after he found a spot on your lung and you keep doing it anyway.  This is the ultimate form of cognitive dissonance."

 

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIANS FREQUENT VISITORS TO LAS VEGAS

California has led the parade among repeat visitors to Las Vegas.  Fifty-nine percent of Southern California visitors visited Las Vegas more than once in the past year compared to 34% of visitors from the rest of the USA and only 8% of foreign visitors based on the Las Vegas Visitor Profile, Fiscal year 2000, Southern California and International Visitor Version from the Las Vegas Visitor and Convention Bureau (LVCVA). 

 

The average number of visits for the past year was 2.9 for Southern California and 2.0 for the rest of the country, with foreign visitors 1.3.  Just 6% of Southern Californians came for a convention versus twice the percentage (12%) from the rest of the United States.  Seventy-six percent of Southern Californians arrive by automobile and logically 73% depended on their own car for local transportation.  Eighty-five percent of Southern Californians said that they had gambled while in Las Vegas.  Eight-three percent of all Californians visited three or more casinos.  Eighteen percent visited nine or more.  The average was 5.7.   Eighty-five percent gambled on the Strip. 

 

Visitor demographics showed that Southern Californians had a similar profile compared to visitors from the rest of the United States except that Southern Californians were slightly younger, more ethnically diverse, and had a slightly higher percentage of singles.  There were fewer retired and they were more educated.  The survey was based on a sample of 848 interviews.


 

NEVADA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

OCTOBER 2001 TRAFFIC SUMMARY

 

AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC 1

WEEKDAY 2

WEEKEND 3

I-15 NEV/CA STATELINE

(PRIMM, NEVADA)

6.1%

5.5%

4.3%

I-15 MESQUITE

5.4%

5%

4.75

SR 163 LAUGHLIN - Davis Dam Rd.

29.8%

33%

23.7%

US 95 AT SEARCHLIGHT

31.4%

35.1%

25.4%

 

 

1.      Percentage increase (decrease) in average daily traffic northbound and southbound divided by the total number of days of the month.

2.      Percentage increase (decrease) in total traffic northbound and southbound Monday through Thursday divided by the number of days of the month.

3.      

Percentage increase (decrease) in total traffic northbound and southbound for Saturday and Sunday divided by    the number of days of the month.